NBA Picks Today: Thursday, November 5, 2026
Tonight, Free NBA picks and predictions cover all 2 games, with the model's win chance, spread picks, total picks, their edge and the Kalshi price. First tip 9:00 PM ET.
Live record 42 picks posted graded after the finalsLedger since November 4 never editedUpdated Nov 5, 12:20 AM ET · 2 games · lines from DraftKings · Kalshi prices Nov 4, 3:00 PM ET
| Tip | Game | Win % | Spread | Total | Kalshi | Our picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic2-5Suns1-4 | 51.148.9 | fair +0.5 | fair 225.1 | 48¢52¢ | Preview, injuries, stats | |
| NBA TV | Heat2-5Warriors5-3 | 29.270.8 | fair −7.5 | fair 238.9 | 39¢61¢ | Preview, injuries, stats |
- Win % shows the chance our model gives each side. In the Kalshi column, a $1 win contract costs traders this many cents.
- To find the edge, subtract the price's break-even chance from our chance. The model calls 6 points or more wide, 3 to 6 clear and under 3 slim. Learn how the model works.
- Before tip, we log every pick once. Later we grade it by the final score and by the closing line on our record.
TV tonight and tip times
- Magic at Suns Suns Live, Arizona's Family 3TV
- Heat at Warriors NBA TV